Table of Contents

(Work in Progress - Kalev)

Narrative

Perfect opportunity to re-discover, proper argumentation, logic, critical-thinking and the scientific method. The plan is to use these topics as the main thread in a series of articles, which will explain where we went wrong with the COVID response, what we can learn from it, and what we need to put in place for this not to happen again.

Constructing the narrative

How did we end up here?

Deconstructing the narrative

What is wrong with were we are now?

We need to offer an alternate point of view.

(Biggest problem in my mind is the fearmongering around the death rates. Establishing R0, How dangerous is COVID really? by age groups, underlying health conditions.

Discuss early treatment, vaccine development, alternative strategies. Many alternative strategies are not)

Predicting the narrative

We need to record our predictions on how the narrative is going to change, as in this January 10, 2021 piece by Jeff Childers.

It is already happening now with the Botswanan variant (COVID-21)).

“They” are blaming the unvaccinated for the mutations, when all cases have been found in dead *vaccinated* people.

What is the strategy:


Topics worth discussing

Meta topics:

Thread

A common thread that runs through many of these topics is the battle or tension that exists between thoughtfulness and emotion.

How proper rules of argumentation have been consistently violated in order to override a considered and reasoned response.

Problems

No accountability, nor agreements on the feedback rules and mechanisms that should be followed were established upfront. (This needs to be done in future pandemics)

Hypotheses, postulates, theories and thresholds should be defined and recorded upfront. Theories should be revised and debated in public forums as new observations become available, if they do not meet the recorded expectations.

There does not need to be consensus. In fact the less consensus the better. Experts should be encouraged to disagree, but their reasoning and expectations should be recorded and regularly compared to reality. Those that are able to best predict outcomes should be listened to more.

Conflict of interests.

No agreement on the most important measure to keep track of. Daily cases was a really bad metric.

Testing everyone, even those that where asymptomatic was a bad strategy.

Transparency and honesty on how the data is reported. Media wants to sensationalize everything.