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video_translations:didier_raoult:vaccination_campaign_efficacy [2022/01/14 13:25]
kalev
video_translations:didier_raoult:vaccination_campaign_efficacy [2022/01/18 14:46] (current)
kalev
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 [26:10] [26:10]
  
-This is a subject he holds dear and wants to debunk the propaganda.+I would like to redress a point concerning the northern suburbs of Marseille. The propaganda press have stated that  there are more COVID cases in the northern suburbs of Marseille because less people are vaccinated there. 
 + 
 +This is completely false and pure propaganda. 
 + 
 +[26:41] 
 + 
 +{{:video_translations:didier_raoult:raoult_v1_11.png?400|Cases by suburbs}} 
 + 
 +Here is a chart of people who have been tested in each suburb. We can see in red the people that tested positive, but it also clearly shows that there are not more positive cases as a percentage of the population, in the northern suburbs than elsewhere around the country. 
 + 
 +[27:06]  
 + 
 +The fire brigade department also keeps very good records of positive cases around the region. 
 + 
 +Here is a map of the worse affected areas around Marseille, and as you can see the northern suburbs are not noticeably worse than the other areas in the city. 
 + 
 +In fact it looks like the wealthy suburbs, are the worse off, which might be due to people coming back from their skiing holidays. 
 + 
 +We have to stop vilifying people from the northern suburbs, and stop calling them names because they don't want to get vaccinated, and blaming them for the pandemicThis is false. People need to stop and take stock of the reality of the situation. They must objectively look at the data and change their minds. 
 + 
 +As better information is becoming available, people need to review their positions. 
 + 
 + 
 +=== You often mention we can't predict the future, but what are your thoughts on Omicron? === 
 + 
 +[28:11]  
 + 
 +It's hard to tell, but there is some new information that may give us some clues. 
 + 
 +Here is the chart which shows the different variants: 
 + 
 +{{:video_translations:didier_raoult:raoult_v1_13.png?400| Variants}} 
 + 
 +You can see that "Marseille-4" originated in France and was the dominant variant during the first wave. 
 + 
 +In Spain they had a different variant called "Marseille-2", which we detected in France relatively soon, but never became a dominant variant. 
 + 
 +I have no idea why one variant is more dominant than the other, but Marseille-2 is the variant that dominated the United Kingdom to start with, probably due to people returning from their holidays in Spain. The English never gave this variant a name. It was then followed by the Alpha variant (dark red), then Delta (green). 
 + 
 +[29:20] 
 + 
 +In Denmark, you can see they have a "mix" of variants to start of with, which can be explained by Danes returning home from holidays from different countries. The "Alpha" variant then became dominant, followed by Delta. 
 + 
 +Getting back to the map of France, you can see we have been affected by some South African variants as well. 
 + 
 +(Summary) 
 + 
 +So you can see there are many variants. Different locations have different variants. And we have no idea why one variant will dominate another. 
 + 
 +Nevertheless we have thoroughly studied the "Marseille-4". We produce 10,000 complete DNA mappings of this variant, in order to better understand how it starts and spreads through a community. Why do we get these funny shapes in the plots? 
 + 
 +How can we explain that? 
 + 
 +[30:22]
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