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--- video_translations:didier_raoult:vaccination_campaign_efficacy [2022/01/13 13:49]
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+++ video_translations:didier_raoult:vaccination_campaign_efficacy [2022/01/18 14:46] (current)
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 [17:42]
 {{:video_translations:didier_raoult:raoult_v1_7.png?400|Graph from the Ontario paper}}
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 They have injected over 108 million doses and they now have more COVID cases than ever.
+=== Singapore ===
+[21:07]
+=== Denmark ===
+[21:26]
+=== France ===
+[21:59]
+=== Summary ===
+[22:18]
+Claims the vaccination campaigns around the world have been successful are false.
+Some may argue that the increase in COVID cases is happening everywhere. That is not the case.
+Countries that haven't been mass vaccinated and countries that have inactive vaccines, have significantly less COVID cases.
+So
+. The mRNA vaccines, have been unable to control the spread of the virus. They might reduce the severity of the symptoms, however the symptoms themselves are not very sever to start with. (not sure if he is referring to Omicron or Delta.)
+In any case, it does not justify the manner in which the un-vaccinated have been treated, by threatening, insulting or intimidating them.
+We need to keep things in perspective and remind ourselves that we are dealing with a new virus, and using a vaccine technology we have very little experience with. Not to mention the fact that treating RNA diseases such as influenza, with vaccines, has historically been difficult with limited success.
+[23:45]
+We need to tread carefully because we know that with the dengue virus, we should only vaccinate people that have already been infected, otherwise, the infection will be much worse for people who get vaccinated first, than if they didn't get vaccinated.
+(The point he is trying to make is that we already know of viruses for which we need to be careful about when we vaccinate people. He is suggesting more studies need to be done with COVID to see if it falls within the same category.)
+So you can see that vaccines are complicated. They are not a miracle cure. They must be adapted to the situation.
+(He goes on to explain that he was his opinion on dengue vaccines over 10 years ago, and that he has a lot of experience treating the dengue virus.)
+We know there are vaccines that make things worse.
+(He gives an example of "poliomelite"(?) that has been re-introduced into the community because of active vaccines, when the chance of contracting this virus in nature is negligeable.)
+[25:46]
+Some vaccines work very well, others don't, and there are some that are dangerous!
+Vaccines are not a magic wand or a miracle cure.
+This is not religion, it is science. When our knowledge and understanding improves our strategies need to change and improve as well. We must not stop analysing and objectively assessing new pieces of information.
+=== Nothern Suburbs of Marseille ===
+[26:10]
+I would like to redress a point concerning the northern suburbs of Marseille. The propaganda press have stated that  there are more COVID cases in the northern suburbs of Marseille because less people are vaccinated there.
+This is completely false and pure propaganda.
+[26:41]
+{{:video_translations:didier_raoult:raoult_v1_11.png?400|Cases by suburbs}}
+Here is a chart of people who have been tested in each suburb. We can see in red the people that tested positive, but it also clearly shows that there are not more positive cases as a percentage of the population, in the northern suburbs than elsewhere around the country.
+[27:06]
+The fire brigade department also keeps very good records of positive cases around the region.
+Here is a map of the worse affected areas around Marseille, and as you can see the northern suburbs are not noticeably worse than the other areas in the city.
+In fact it looks like the wealthy suburbs, are the worse off, which might be due to people coming back from their skiing holidays.
+We have to stop vilifying people from the northern suburbs, and stop calling them names because they don't want to get vaccinated, and blaming them for the pandemic. This is false. People need to stop and take stock of the reality of the situation. They must objectively look at the data and change their minds.
+As better information is becoming available, people need to review their positions.
+=== You often mention we can't predict the future, but what are your thoughts on Omicron? ===
+[28:11]
+It's hard to tell, but there is some new information that may give us some clues.
+Here is the chart which shows the different variants:
+{{:video_translations:didier_raoult:raoult_v1_13.png?400| Variants}}
+You can see that "Marseille-4" originated in France and was the dominant variant during the first wave.
+In Spain they had a different variant called "Marseille-2", which we detected in France relatively soon, but never became a dominant variant.
+I have no idea why one variant is more dominant than the other, but Marseille-2 is the variant that dominated the United Kingdom to start with, probably due to people returning from their holidays in Spain. The English never gave this variant a name. It was then followed by the Alpha variant (dark red), then Delta (green).
+[29:20]
+In Denmark, you can see they have a "mix" of variants to start of with, which can be explained by Danes returning home from holidays from different countries. The "Alpha" variant then became dominant, followed by Delta.
+Getting back to the map of France, you can see we have been affected by some South African variants as well.
+(Summary)
+So you can see there are many variants. Different locations have different variants. And we have no idea why one variant will dominate another.
+Nevertheless we have thoroughly studied the "Marseille-4". We produce 10,000 complete DNA mappings of this variant, in order to better understand how it starts and spreads through a community. Why do we get these funny shapes in the plots?
+How can we explain that?
+[30:22]