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pandemic_war_games [2022/02/07 19:24]
liam [SPARS Pandemic Scenario (2017)] | pandemic_war_games [2023/02/27 18:47] (current)
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| Sorted in chronological order, from most recent to oldest. | Sorted in chronological order, from most recent to oldest. |
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| ==== Event 201 (2019) ==== | * [[A Spreading Plague]] |
| | * [[A World at Risk]] |
| | * [[Atlantic Storm]] |
| | * [[CIVEX '93]] |
| | * [[Clade X]] |
| | * [[Clever Together]] |
| | * [[Crimson Contagion]] |
| | * [[Dark Winter]] |
| | * [[Event 201]] |
| | * [[Exercise Alice]] |
| | * [[Exercise Cygnus]] |
| | * [[Hack Attack]] |
| | * [[In the Dark]] |
| | * [[Lock Step]] |
| | * [[National Level Exercise 2009]] (NLE 09) |
| | * [[Operation Blackout]] |
| | * [[Outbreak Anatomy of a Plague|Outbreak: Anatomy of a Plague]] |
| | * [[Smart Scramble]] |
| | * [[SPARS]] |
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| | ==== Event 201 (October 2019) ==== |
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| On October 14, 2019, the [[johns_hopkins_university:Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security]] announced on [[Facebook]] that they would be hosting a pandemic exercise called "Event 201".((Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. (2019, October 14). //Event 201 Facebook Event Announcement.// Facebook. https://archive.org/details/event-201-facebook-event-announcement)) | On October 14, 2019, the [[johns_hopkins_university:Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security]] announced on [[Facebook]] that they would be hosting a pandemic exercise called "Event 201".((Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. (2019, October 14). //Event 201 Facebook Event Announcement.// Facebook. https://archive.org/details/event-201-facebook-event-announcement)) |
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| The in-person and virtual event took place in New York City on October 18. 2019. It was organized in partnership with the [[World Economic Forum]] and the [[Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation]]. Participants were primarily leaders in the private and public sector, providing the opportunity to strengthen working relationships between governments, non-governmental organizations, regulatory agencies and corporations.((J. H. C. H. S. website. (2019, November 11). //Event 201, a Pandemic exercise to illustrate preparedness efforts.// https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/)) | The in-person and virtual event took place in New York City on October 18. 2019. It was organized in partnership with the [[World Economic Forum]] and the [[:Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation]]. Participants were primarily leaders in the private and public sector, providing the opportunity to strengthen working relationships between governments, non-governmental organizations, regulatory agencies and corporations.((J. H. C. H. S. website. (2019, November 11). //Event 201, a Pandemic exercise to illustrate preparedness efforts.// https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/event201/)) |
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| There are extensive exerts (if not the entire thing) available to view on YouTube. | There are extensive exerts (if not the entire thing) available to view on YouTube. |
| * [[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBuP40H4Tko | Segment 4: Communications & Epilogue (36.09)]] | * [[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LBuP40H4Tko | Segment 4: Communications & Epilogue (36.09)]] |
| * [[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-_FAjNSd58 | Segment 5: Hotwash & Conclusion (41.06)]] | * [[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0-_FAjNSd58 | Segment 5: Hotwash & Conclusion (41.06)]] |
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| These are all uploaded by the Center for Health Security at [[Johns Hopkins University]].((https://centerforhealthsecurity.org)) This sits within the Bloomberg School of Public Health((https://publichealth.jhu.edu)), founded in 1916 by William H. Welch ((https://publichealth.jhu.edu/about/history/heroes-of-public-health/william-henry-welch-md)) and John D. Rockefeller.((https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_D._Rockefeller)) | These are all uploaded by the Center for Health Security at [[Johns Hopkins University]].((https://centerforhealthsecurity.org)) This sits within the Bloomberg School of Public Health((https://publichealth.jhu.edu)), founded in 1916 by William H. Welch ((https://publichealth.jhu.edu/about/history/heroes-of-public-health/william-henry-welch-md)) and John D. Rockefeller.((https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_D._Rockefeller)) |
| === Notable Similarities to COVID-19 === | === Notable Similarities to COVID-19 === |
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| Due to questions surrounding the similarities between the narrative of Event 201 and the real-life COVID-19 pandemic, the JHCHS released a statement denying any foreknowledge of the latter. The statement, dated January 24, 2020, clarified that the centre was "not now predicting that the nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people. Although our tabletop exercise included a mock novel coronavirus, the inputs we used for modeling the potential impact of that fictional virus are not similar to nCoV-2019."((JHCHS. (2020, January 24). //Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2020/2020-01-24-Statement-of-Clarification-Event201.html)) However, less than two months later, [[Neil Ferguson]] and his team at [[Imperial College London]] predicted 2,710,000 deaths in the United Kingdom and United States alone.((Ferguson, N. M., Laydon, D., & Nedjati-Gilani, G. (2020, March 16). //Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand.// Imperial College London. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-16-COVID19-Report-9.pdf)) | Due to questions surrounding the similarities between the narrative of [[:Event 201]] and the real-life COVID-19 pandemic, the JHCHS released a statement denying any foreknowledge of the latter. The statement, dated January 24, 2020, clarified that the centre was "not now predicting that the nCoV-2019 outbreak will kill 65 million people. Although our tabletop exercise included a mock novel coronavirus, the inputs we used for modeling the potential impact of that fictional virus are not similar to nCoV-2019."((JHCHS. (2020, January 24). //Statement about nCoV and our pandemic exercise.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2020/2020-01-24-Statement-of-Clarification-Event201.html)) However, less than two months later, [[:Neil Ferguson]] and his team at [[:Imperial College]] London predicted 2,710,000 deaths in the United Kingdom and United States alone.((Ferguson, N. M., Laydon, D., & Nedjati-Gilani, G. (2020, March 16). //Report 9: Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand.// Imperial College London. https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-03-16-COVID19-Report-9.pdf)) |
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| ==== Crimson Contagion (2019) ==== | ==== Crimson Contagion (2019) ==== |
| The series of exercises was created in response to "the need for the nation to better prepare for incidents in which DHS/[[FEMA]] is not the lead federal agency." It included two tabletop exercises, a seminar, and a functional exercise to examine issues related to response structures, information exchange, coordination of resources, and policy decisions. | The series of exercises was created in response to "the need for the nation to better prepare for incidents in which DHS/[[FEMA]] is not the lead federal agency." It included two tabletop exercises, a seminar, and a functional exercise to examine issues related to response structures, information exchange, coordination of resources, and policy decisions. |
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| ==== A World at Risk (2019) ==== | ==== A World at Risk (September 2019) ==== |
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| {{:gpmb_ar_2019.jpeg?200 |}} | {{:gpmb_ar_2019.jpeg?200 |}} |
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| ==== SPARS Pandemic Scenario (2017) ==== | ==== A Spreading Plague (February 2019) ==== |
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| | The [[:Nuclear Threat Initiative]], [[:Georgetown University]]'s [[:Center for Global Health Science and Security]], and the [[:Center for Global Development]] hosted a [[:pandemic war games|pandemic war game]] in Munich, Germany, simulating "command, control, and coordination of an international response to an unusual and rapidly spreading biological event."((//A Spreading Plague: Lessons and Recommendations for Responding to a Deliberate Biological Event.// (2019, June 13). The Nuclear Threat Initiative. https://archive.ph/92jNs)) A report was published with the findings and recommendations, titled "[[pandemic_war_games:A Spreading Plague]]". |
| | ==== SPARS Pandemic Scenario (October 2017) ==== |
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| In October 2017, the [[johns_hopkins_university:Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security]] released a document entitled "The [[SPARS Pandemic Scenario]]: a Futuristic Scenario for Public Health Risk Communicators".((Alexopulos, N. (2017, October 23). //Center for Health Security releases risk communications exercise scenario focused on medical countermeasures in a pandemic.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2017/2017-10-23_spars-scenario.htm)) It was described as "a self-guided exercise scenario for public health communicators and risk communication researchers eager to deepen their understanding of the communication dilemmas that could arise when medical countermeasures are developed and distributed during a pandemic." | In October 2017, the [[johns_hopkins_university:Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security]] released a document entitled "The [[:SPARS]] Pandemic Scenario- a Futuristic Scenario for Public Health Risk Communicators".((Alexopulos, N. (2017, October 23). //Center for Health Security releases risk communications exercise scenario focused on medical countermeasures in a pandemic.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/news/center-news/2017/2017-10-23_spars-scenario.htm)) It was described as "a self-guided exercise scenario for public health communicators and risk communication researchers eager to deepen their understanding of the communication dilemmas that could arise when medical countermeasures are developed and distributed during a pandemic." |
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| === Notable Similarities to COVID-19 === | === Notable Similarities to COVID-19 === |
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| By the very first word, a similarity in naming is obvious - "SPARS" vs "SARS". Both also have similar extended names, "SPARS-CoV" and "[[SARS-CoV-2]]", which are acronyms for "St. Paul Acute Respiratory Syndrome | By the very first word, a similarity in naming is obvious - "SPARS" vs "SARS". Both also have similar extended names, "SPARS-CoV" and "[[:SARS-CoV-2]]", which are acronyms for "St. Paul Acute Respiratory Syndrome |
| Coronavirus" and "Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2", respectively. ((Wu, Y., Ho, W., Huang, Y., Jin, D.-Y., Li, S., Liu, S.-L., Liu, X., Qiu, J., Sang, Y., Wang, Q., Yuen, K.-Y., & Zheng, Z.-M. (2020). //SARS-CoV-2 is an appropriate name for the new coronavirus.// The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30557-2)) | Coronavirus" and "Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2", respectively. ((Wu, Y., Ho, W., Huang, Y., Jin, D.-Y., Li, S., Liu, S.-L., Liu, X., Qiu, J., Sang, Y., Wang, Q., Yuen, K.-Y., & Zheng, Z.-M. (2020). //SARS-CoV-2 is an appropriate name for the new coronavirus.// The Lancet, 0(0). https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30557-2)) |
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| ==== Dark Winter (2001) ==== | ==== Dark Winter (2001) ==== |
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| [[Dark Winter]] was a bioterrorism exercise conducted on June 22-23, 2001 at Andrews Air Force Base in the United States.((Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense, Center for Strategic and International Studies, ANSER, & Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism. (2001, June 22). //Dark Winter Bioterrorism Exercise.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. Retrieved December 1, 2021 from https://web.archive.org/web/20211201234743/https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events-archive/2001_dark-winter/Dark%20Winter%20Script.pdf)) The script for the exercise was published by the [[Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense]], [[Center for Strategic and International Studies]], [[ANSER]], & [[Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism]]. | [[Dark Winter]] was a bioterrorism exercise conducted on June 22-23, 2001 at Andrews Air Force Base in the United States.((Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense, Center for Strategic and International Studies, ANSER, & Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism. (2001, June 22). //Dark Winter Bioterrorism Exercise.// Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security. Retrieved December 1, 2021 from https://web.archive.org/web/20211201234743/https://www.centerforhealthsecurity.org/our-work/events-archive/2001_dark-winter/Dark%20Winter%20Script.pdf)) The script for the exercise was published by the [[johns_hopkins_university:Johns Hopkins Center for Civilian Biodefense]], [[Center for Strategic and International Studies]], [[ANSER]], & [[Memorial Institute for the Prevention of Terrorism]]. |
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| Participants in the exercise played roles as "National Security Council (NSC) members responding to the smallpox crisis, exercise participants were given information about unfolding events in four important ways: briefings, memos, newspaper summaries, and video news clips." | Participants in the exercise played roles as "National Security Council (NSC) members responding to the smallpox crisis, exercise participants were given information about unfolding events in four important ways: briefings, memos, newspaper summaries, and video news clips." |
