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neil_ferguson [2022/04/21 20:37]
pamela
neil_ferguson [2022/09/01 16:36] (current)
pamela
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-===== Professor Neil Ferguson ===== +=====Neil Ferguson ====== 
-{{ ::neil_ferguson.png?400|}}+{{ ::neil_ferguson.png?200|}}
  
  
-==== Imperial College bio ====+===== Imperial College bio =====
  
 Jan 2020 archive - Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health Jan 2020 archive - Faculty of Medicine, School of Public Health
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 Recently been published in Science, my research on the [[:Sanofi]] [[:vaccine]] (in collaboration with colleagues at the [[:University of Florida]] and [[:Johns Hopkins]] University) examined the benefits and risks associated with large-scale roll-out immunisation programmes using this vaccine. Our analysis showed that the the complex efficacy trends seen in the clinical trials of the vaccine was consitent with the hypothesis that the vaccine acted akin to a silent (i.e. non-symptomatic) natural infection - priming the immune system of people who have never had dengue (and thus potentially increasing their risk of experience severe dengue infection in future), but boosting the immunity of those who experienced dengue before being vaccinated (thus dramatically reducing their risk of experiencing severe dengue disease in future).((https://web.archive.org/web/20200128230115/https://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/neil.ferguson)) Recently been published in Science, my research on the [[:Sanofi]] [[:vaccine]] (in collaboration with colleagues at the [[:University of Florida]] and [[:Johns Hopkins]] University) examined the benefits and risks associated with large-scale roll-out immunisation programmes using this vaccine. Our analysis showed that the the complex efficacy trends seen in the clinical trials of the vaccine was consitent with the hypothesis that the vaccine acted akin to a silent (i.e. non-symptomatic) natural infection - priming the immune system of people who have never had dengue (and thus potentially increasing their risk of experience severe dengue infection in future), but boosting the immunity of those who experienced dengue before being vaccinated (thus dramatically reducing their risk of experiencing severe dengue disease in future).((https://web.archive.org/web/20200128230115/https://www.imperial.ac.uk/people/neil.ferguson))
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 +===== Adventures in Modeling =====
  
 ==== Ferguson's Lock-down Model ==== ==== Ferguson's Lock-down Model ====
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 Those who attack Neil Ferguson and [[:Sage]]’s pandemic predictions only expose their ignorance about science Those who attack Neil Ferguson and [[:Sage]]’s pandemic predictions only expose their ignorance about science
  
-feels like open season on Professor Neil Ferguson right now. Sections of the media and several columnists delight in castigating the epidemiologist, or “Professor Lockdown”, for being “doomster in chief”, constantly predicting catastrophe and then backpeddling when the worst numbers don’t materialise.+It feels like open season on Professor Neil Ferguson right now. Sections of the media and several columnists delight in castigating the epidemiologist, or “Professor Lockdown”, for being “doomster in chief”, constantly predicting catastrophe and then backpeddling when the worst numbers don’t materialise.
  
 Opponents of Covid restrictions blame Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London for persuading Boris Johnson to shake off his libertarian instincts and take us into lockdown. One presenter on new channel GB News described Ferguson as a “numpty” on air, and the very mention of his name attracts groans in some circles. Opponents of Covid restrictions blame Ferguson and his team at Imperial College London for persuading Boris Johnson to shake off his libertarian instincts and take us into lockdown. One presenter on new channel GB News described Ferguson as a “numpty” on air, and the very mention of his name attracts groans in some circles.
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 It is right that scientists and evidence are scrutinised. The scientific endeavour is based on testing ideas and self-correction, and external challenges make science better. But calling scientists rude names and encouraging the public not to trust experts who revise their data and correct themselves is anti-science and anti-intellectual. It is right that scientists and evidence are scrutinised. The scientific endeavour is based on testing ideas and self-correction, and external challenges make science better. But calling scientists rude names and encouraging the public not to trust experts who revise their data and correct themselves is anti-science and anti-intellectual.
  
-Fiona Fox is chief executive of the Science Media Centre (petrochemical PR)((https://web.archive.org/web/20210808080952/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/aug/08/britains-covid-experts-neil-ferguson-sage-are-under-attack-but-they-are-just-doing-their-jobs))+Fiona Fox is chief executive of the [[:Science Media Centre]] (petrochemical PR)((https://web.archive.org/web/20210808080952/https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/aug/08/britains-covid-experts-neil-ferguson-sage-are-under-attack-but-they-are-just-doing-their-jobs))
  
  
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 +==== One More Public Health Fraud ====
  
 +British scientist and Professor Neil Ferguson of The [[:Imperial College]], London (the same Imperial College of London funded by the [[:Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation]] was responsible for developing the mathematical pandemic computer models for the COVID-19 pandemic. The world followed Ferguson’s advice, yet all his models have been proven to be grossly over stated and misleading. 
  
 +For example, Ferguson modeled that Sweden would experience 100,000 deaths by June, 2020. To date, Sweden peaked at 2,854 deaths total. ((https://web.archive.org/web/20200531232716/https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/professor-lockdown-modeler-resigns-in-disgrace/)) ((https://web.archive.org/web/20200531183151/http://salmartingano.com/2020/05/the-1918-spanish-flu-only-the-vaccinated-died/))
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