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covid-19_vaccines:children [2022/09/30 17:34]
dennis [Risk-Benefit Analysis] | covid-19_vaccines:children [2022/09/30 17:36] (current)
dennis [Risk-Benefit Analysis] |
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| * February 20, 2022 - in a blog post, Stats Jamie shows how "it would take around four million vaccine doses to two million children [aged 5-11] to prevent one admission to ICU".((https://www.statsjamie.co.uk/4-million-doses-in-children-needed-to-prevent-1-icu-admission/)) | * February 20, 2022 - in a blog post, Stats Jamie shows how "it would take around four million vaccine doses to two million children [aged 5-11] to prevent one admission to ICU".((https://www.statsjamie.co.uk/4-million-doses-in-children-needed-to-prevent-1-icu-admission/)) |
| * The FDA did its own analysis that tried to compare the risk of vaccine myocarditis versus the risk of hospitalization or death from infection on page 34 [[https://www.fda.gov/media/153447/download|Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee Meeting-October 26, 2021]]. One can glean from this a Number Needed to Vaccinate to save one child's life at 1 million, so 2 million shots. One could then go further and wonder how many close calls with anaphylactic shock before the vaccines actually cost more lives than they save for this age group. Not sure if natural immunity from natural infection was included in their calculations or not. | * The FDA did its own analysis that tried to compare the risk of vaccine myocarditis versus the risk of hospitalization or death from infection on page 34 [[https://www.fda.gov/media/153447/download|Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee Meeting-October 26, 2021]]. One can glean from this a Number Needed to Vaccinate to save one child's life at 1 million, so 2 million shots. One could then go further and wonder how many close calls with anaphylactic shock before the vaccines actually cost more lives than they save for this age group. Not sure if natural immunity from natural infection was included in their calculations or not. |
| {{ :covid-19_vaccines:nntvfdakids.png?400|}} | {{:covid-19_vaccines:nntvfdakids.png?400|}} |
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