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covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdowns [2022/02/14 04:12]
liam [Micromanaging] | covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdowns [2022/08/16 00:40] (current)
pamela [Imperial College Model Controversy] |
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| ====== Lockdowns and Quarantine During the COVID-19 Pandemic ====== | ====== Lockdowns and Quarantine During the COVID-19 Pandemic ====== |
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| | {{ :covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdownuk.jpeg?200|}} |
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| During the [[:COVID-19 pandemic]], lockdowns and quarantines have been extremely controversial, causing immense amounts of economic disruption and likely tens of millions of premature deaths or more both presently and in the future. | During the [[:COVID-19 pandemic]], lockdowns and quarantines have been extremely controversial, causing immense amounts of economic disruption and likely tens of millions of premature deaths or more both presently and in the future. |
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| The Hammer and the Dance argued that doing nothing in the face of the pandemic would wreak havoc, by infecting and killing a large swathe of the population. Pueyo argued that the need for hospital beds would overwhelm ICU capacity. He presented two alternative strategies: Mitigation, and Suppression. The mitigation strategy he described as slightly better than doing nothing - "flatten the curve a bit", doing just enough to lower the burden on the healthcare system, and otherwise relying on herd immunity (something similar to the strategy later espoused by the [[Great Barrington Declaration]]). He posited that the emergence of variants could render the idea of natural immunity moot. For Pueyo, the suppression strategy was the only option - to lockdown quickly. "Go hard right now, get this thing under control, then release the measures, so that people can gradually get back their freedoms," he wrote. The hammer would 'flatten the curve' through a lockdown, followed by the dance that would allow some ongoing freedoms, just enough to keep the pandemic under control. | The Hammer and the Dance argued that doing nothing in the face of the pandemic would wreak havoc, by infecting and killing a large swathe of the population. Pueyo argued that the need for hospital beds would overwhelm ICU capacity. He presented two alternative strategies: Mitigation, and Suppression. The mitigation strategy he described as slightly better than doing nothing - "flatten the curve a bit", doing just enough to lower the burden on the healthcare system, and otherwise relying on herd immunity (something similar to the strategy later espoused by the [[Great Barrington Declaration]]). He posited that the emergence of variants could render the idea of natural immunity moot. For Pueyo, the suppression strategy was the only option - to lockdown quickly. "Go hard right now, get this thing under control, then release the measures, so that people can gradually get back their freedoms," he wrote. The hammer would 'flatten the curve' through a lockdown, followed by the dance that would allow some ongoing freedoms, just enough to keep the pandemic under control. |
| ==== Imperial College Model Controversy ==== | ==== Imperial College Model Controversy ==== |
| [[Neil Ferguson]] -- dope | [[:Neil Ferguson]] -- dope |
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| https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/?fbclid=IwAR2RjJyD5KohcbKRz03xSp_a1br_FLhue7c9uiH-34H3URpOsXPfRcWxbJo | https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/?fbclid=IwAR2RjJyD5KohcbKRz03xSp_a1br_FLhue7c9uiH-34H3URpOsXPfRcWxbJo |
