| Both sides previous revisionPrevious revisionNext revision | Previous revisionBoth sides next revision |
covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdowns [2022/01/06 22:45]
sage [Research Link Dump] | covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdowns [2022/08/16 00:40] (current)
pamela [Imperial College Model Controversy] |
|---|
| ====== Lockdowns and Quarantine During the COVID-19 Pandemic ====== | ====== Lockdowns and Quarantine During the COVID-19 Pandemic ====== |
| | |
| | {{ :covid-19_public_health_policy:lockdownuk.jpeg?200|}} |
| | |
| During the [[:COVID-19 pandemic]], lockdowns and quarantines have been extremely controversial, causing immense amounts of economic disruption and likely tens of millions of premature deaths or more both presently and in the future. | During the [[:COVID-19 pandemic]], lockdowns and quarantines have been extremely controversial, causing immense amounts of economic disruption and likely tens of millions of premature deaths or more both presently and in the future. |
| |
| The Hammer and the Dance argued that doing nothing in the face of the pandemic would wreak havoc, by infecting and killing a large swathe of the population. Pueyo argued that the need for hospital beds would overwhelm ICU capacity. He presented two alternative strategies: Mitigation, and Suppression. The mitigation strategy he described as slightly better than doing nothing - "flatten the curve a bit", doing just enough to lower the burden on the healthcare system, and otherwise relying on herd immunity (something similar to the strategy later espoused by the [[Great Barrington Declaration]]). He posited that the emergence of variants could render the idea of natural immunity moot. For Pueyo, the suppression strategy was the only option - to lockdown quickly. "Go hard right now, get this thing under control, then release the measures, so that people can gradually get back their freedoms," he wrote. The hammer would 'flatten the curve' through a lockdown, followed by the dance that would allow some ongoing freedoms, just enough to keep the pandemic under control. | The Hammer and the Dance argued that doing nothing in the face of the pandemic would wreak havoc, by infecting and killing a large swathe of the population. Pueyo argued that the need for hospital beds would overwhelm ICU capacity. He presented two alternative strategies: Mitigation, and Suppression. The mitigation strategy he described as slightly better than doing nothing - "flatten the curve a bit", doing just enough to lower the burden on the healthcare system, and otherwise relying on herd immunity (something similar to the strategy later espoused by the [[Great Barrington Declaration]]). He posited that the emergence of variants could render the idea of natural immunity moot. For Pueyo, the suppression strategy was the only option - to lockdown quickly. "Go hard right now, get this thing under control, then release the measures, so that people can gradually get back their freedoms," he wrote. The hammer would 'flatten the curve' through a lockdown, followed by the dance that would allow some ongoing freedoms, just enough to keep the pandemic under control. |
| ==== Imperial College Model Controversy ==== | ==== Imperial College Model Controversy ==== |
| [[Neil Ferguson]] -- dope | [[:Neil Ferguson]] -- dope |
| |
| https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/?fbclid=IwAR2RjJyD5KohcbKRz03xSp_a1br_FLhue7c9uiH-34H3URpOsXPfRcWxbJo | https://lockdownsceptics.org/code-review-of-fergusons-model/?fbclid=IwAR2RjJyD5KohcbKRz03xSp_a1br_FLhue7c9uiH-34H3URpOsXPfRcWxbJo |
| * [[https://michaelburgwin3.com/2021/12/17/forget-china-was-it-cepis-bio-spooks-who-locked-down-the-west/|Michael Burgwin | Dec 17, 2021 | Forget China, was it CEPI’s bio-spooks who locked down the West?]] Suggests that the [[:Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations]] (CEPI) was responsible for pushing for lockdowns during the pandemic. | * [[https://michaelburgwin3.com/2021/12/17/forget-china-was-it-cepis-bio-spooks-who-locked-down-the-west/|Michael Burgwin | Dec 17, 2021 | Forget China, was it CEPI’s bio-spooks who locked down the West?]] Suggests that the [[:Coalition for Epidemic Preparedness Innovations]] (CEPI) was responsible for pushing for lockdowns during the pandemic. |
| |
| | ===== Criticism ===== |
| |
| ===== Research Link Dump ===== | ==== Emergency Management ==== |
| |
| | Former head of [[:Emergency Management Alberta]] [[:David Redman]] published a criticism of Canada's public health response on March 31, 2021, pointing out that quarantine, border controls and similar measures were explicitly not recommended by the [[:World Health Organization]] as recently as 2019.((Redman, D. (2021). //One Year of COVID-19 Pandemic Response in Canada.// https://rsqarnet.files.wordpress.com/2021/12/one-year-of-canadian-pandemic-response-march-31-2021-david-redman-final.pdf)) |
| | |
| | ==== Micromanaging ==== |
| | |
| | On December 15, 2021, the [[:Toronto Sun]] published an opinion piece calling on Canadians to ignore any further public health guidance that would result in the "micromanagement" of their lives, including business and school closures, stating "that ship has sailed. Life must go on."((Postmedia News. (2021, December 15). //EDITORIAL: It’s time for Canadians to just say no.// Toronto Sun. https://archive.ph/guSib)) |
| | ===== Hypocrisy ===== |
| | Some leaders were called [[hypocrites]] when caught breaking restrictions or lockdown rules for which they had previously lobbied or required the public to adhere (see related [[Covid-19 Hypocrites]]). |
| | ===== Research Link Dump ===== |
| |
| | "While small benefits cannot be excluded, we do not find significant benefits on case growth of more restrictive NPIs. Similar reductions in case growth may be achievable with less-restrictive interventions." |
| https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33400268/ | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33400268/ |
| |
| | Good overview of policy flaw from several countries: |
| https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianoutlook/lockdowns-could-kill-more-people-than-covid-19/ | https://www.internationalaffairs.org.au/australianoutlook/lockdowns-could-kill-more-people-than-covid-19/ |
| |
| https://www.thedailybeast.com/this-coronavirus-lockdown-may-just-be-the-first-of-several | https://www.thedailybeast.com/this-coronavirus-lockdown-may-just-be-the-first-of-several |
| |
| | https://rsqarnet.files.wordpress.com/2021/12/canadas-deadly-response-to-covid-19-july-1_2021.pdf |
